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Originally Posted by AirDuster
FYI,
The reason injuries go down as the season goes on is likely that more Prone players get injured early on and are more likely to be replaced by Normal or Durable players as the season progresses, whereas basically no Durable players are getting replaced.
Basically, as a season progresses, the proportion of durable:normal+prone increases.
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I attacked this from the other direction, measuring the number of active player-sims per sim over the 6-year span. I figured that if prone-normal players were coming out of the player pool at a rate great enough to cause the fall-off of injuries in the last half of the year (as you suspect) then I would see it as a reduction of players active in each successive sim.
What I found suggests that this theory does not account for the decrease in injuries in the last half of the year:
While there are fluctuations, it appears that as the season progresses players get injured and heal at about even paces.
Until I come up with a different theory, I'm going to assume the drop off is the result of something in the game engine itself.