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Originally Posted by RonCo
Regardless, though, I think people are talking past each other here. If you tell me my team is going to strike out 1-3% more often, walk 1-3% less often, hit a few less triples, and play a little worse defense on the road, that seems like it would be enough to account for an awful lot of the 3-6 win difference most teams see as a home field advantage/road disadvantage over 81 games.
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Don''t forget though that 54% figure is a broad average. Sometimes individual teams will post home records that are significantly better, even lousy teams.
A few cases in point:
1909 Boston (NL)
Overall: 45-108 .294 ; Home: 27-47 .365 ; Away: 18-61 .228 ; +.137
1935 Boston (NL)
Overall: 38-115 .248 ; Home: 25-50 .333 ; Away: 13-65 .167 ; +.166
1963 New York (NL)
Overall: 51-111 .315 ; Home: 34-47 .420 ; Away: 17-64 .210 ; +.210
1973 Texas (AL)
Overall: 57-105 .352 ; Home: 35-46 .432 ; Away: 22-59 .272 ; +.160
1977 Atlanta (NL)
Overall: 61-101 .377 ; Home: 40-41 .494 ; Away: 21-60 .259 ; +.235
1978 Toronto (AL)
Overall: 59-102 .366 ; Home: 37-44 .457 : Away: 22-58 .275 ; +.182
1985 Pittsburgh (NL)
Overall: 57-104 .354 ; Home: 35-45 .438 : Away: 22-59 .272 ; +.166
And here's a really staggering example of the home field benefitting a team that had a poor record overall:
1945 Philadephia (AL)
Overall: 52-98 .347 ; Home: 39-35 .527 ; Away: 13-63 .171 ; +.356