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Originally Posted by DiMaggio5CF
One throws great pitches.
Another one's pitches have a tailing action and late pop.
The third guy has pinpoint control.
Which one do you want the most?
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Well, if I were to consider my study, I'd want the guy with tailing action. The movement pitchers, while striking out fewer hitters, were the most successful in my study, even with only 50 stuff and 5 velocity.
Now, am I going to turn down that pitcher with the 100 stuff and 98 mph fastball if he shows up at my draft spot? Probably not. However, I may just pass on him if I can get a stud hitter, and still get a pitcher with OK stuff and great movement in the next round.
Incidentally, you're right, 5 years isn't very much, but that was about 7000 IP per team, 150 starts per starter, and I reset the ratings values after each season. Still, point taken.