OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post - Yet Another OOTP6 Dynasty, Year 2: One Flew Over the Pale Hose

cknox0723 · 06-05-2005, 09:56 PM

game vii - chw (1-5) @ cle (2-4) - "turning the corner"

last year went a little like this...: a 10-5 WIN behind a helluva start from...esteban loaiza.

this year should be a little like...: j. garland (0-1, 10.50) vs. c. bartosh (0-0, 2.57)

Take a look at this series of numbers and tell me what comes next:

Code:

3.55
5.56
4.94
4.84
2.09
1.64

If you are analyzing baseball and come across those numbers under the 'ERA' column, most folks would say that displayed in those numbers is a man that has "turned a corner." That's the phrase, isn't it? "Turned a corner." He's on the verge of becoming an ace, wouldn't you say that?

But think about it a second. Where in life can you actually turn a corner? You use the phrase when talking about driving a car -- but that ignores the fact that you can just turn around. Hell, almost all roads are interconnected anyway! You don't turn a corner when making a left onto Spring Valley Road; you're just veering slightly off your original path.

Why should that change when applied to baseball analysis? Jon Garland is of course the man detailed above by six numbers, the man who supposedly turned the corner in the last two months of 2006. But in reality, he was just veering slightly off his original path, that of a mediocre pitcher.

Code:

MONTH		IP	H/IP	BB/IP	K/IP	ERA
April		33	1.03	0.61	0.42	3.55
May		34	1.21	0.74	0.71	5.56
June		31	1.29	0.48	0.71	4.94
July		22.1	1.12	0.45	0.90	4.84
August		38.2	0.62	0.31	0.54	2.09
September	38.1	0.76	0.34	0.44	1.64

While Jon Garland's three-year contract is probably going to be a dud, he was never going to be even half the pitcher that his opponent Cliff Bartosh is, whether Jon Moo has turned a mythical corner or not. Though now that I think about it -- Bartosh won 20 last year, Garland won nine. That's almost half, isn't it?

Maybe that's a good sign.

06-05-2005, 09:56 PM	#413
cknox0723 All Star Starter Join Date: May 2003 Location: NJ Posts: 1,957	turning the corner game vii - chw (1-5) @ cle (2-4) - "turning the corner" last year went a little like this...: a 10-5 WIN behind a helluva start from...esteban loaiza. this year should be a little like...: j. garland (0-1, 10.50) vs. c. bartosh (0-0, 2.57) Take a look at this series of numbers and tell me what comes next: Code: 3.55 5.56 4.94 4.84 2.09 1.64 If you are analyzing baseball and come across those numbers under the 'ERA' column, most folks would say that displayed in those numbers is a man that has "turned a corner." That's the phrase, isn't it? "Turned a corner." He's on the verge of becoming an ace, wouldn't you say that? But think about it a second. Where in life can you actually turn a corner? You use the phrase when talking about driving a car -- but that ignores the fact that you can just turn around. Hell, almost all roads are interconnected anyway! You don't turn a corner when making a left onto Spring Valley Road; you're just veering slightly off your original path. Why should that change when applied to baseball analysis? Jon Garland is of course the man detailed above by six numbers, the man who supposedly turned the corner in the last two months of 2006. But in reality, he was just veering slightly off his original path, that of a mediocre pitcher. Code: MONTH IP H/IP BB/IP K/IP ERA April 33 1.03 0.61 0.42 3.55 May 34 1.21 0.74 0.71 5.56 June 31 1.29 0.48 0.71 4.94 July 22.1 1.12 0.45 0.90 4.84 August 38.2 0.62 0.31 0.54 2.09 September 38.1 0.76 0.34 0.44 1.64 While Jon Garland's three-year contract is probably going to be a dud, he was never going to be even half the pitcher that his opponent Cliff Bartosh is, whether Jon Moo has turned a mythical corner or not. Though now that I think about it -- Bartosh won 20 last year, Garland won nine. That's almost half, isn't it? Maybe that's a good sign.