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Old 03-14-2005, 08:52 PM   #137
cknox0723
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Join Date: May 2003
Location: NJ
Posts: 1,957
taste the sun

Teams usually end up in last place for two reasons -- the cyclical nature of talent flow (rebuilding) or complete and total mismanagement (building, period). The Pale Hose of two years ago would fall under both categories. But I can't figure out which, if any, Arizona falls under.

Their payroll sits comfortably above $60 million, fourteenth highest in the league, one spot above last year. Considering they only won 72, that's a lot of bags full of marginal dollars per marginal win. (RIP Doug Pappas) It's not really misallocated, though; overallocated, perhaps, but no gazillions going to has-beens like Juan Gonzalez or Jorge Posada here. And the organization made a tidy profit last year, so they're not mirroring the financial indiscretion of their real-life counterpart.

All that's really missing is a bona fide star, as 25 year old second sacker and #3 hitter Scott Hairston isn't quite there, despite pounding 20 long balls and 35 doubles last year to go along with a .300 average. Call him the new Billy Grabarkewitz if you like. The rest of the lineup is average at best, with familiar names like Luis Gonzalez and Danny Bautista intermingling with unknowns who could go either way, such as center fielder Tony Gwynn Jr. and shortstop Josh "U.S.S. Maine" McKinley.

The pitching staff is guilty of the same misdemeanor as most other last place teams, a lousy back end of the rotation. Brandon Webb, despite an 8-15 ledger last year and a proclivity for the big fly, is a bona fide ace, and Eric DuBose and Casey Fossum are fine middle-of-the-way starters, but there's little beyond that, no matter what our scout-trout says of Danny Meyer. The bullpen's fine, though everyone's making six figures, so it darn well better be fine. Closer Jose Valverde has 100 career saves at the age of 27, so health willing, he could be the Mo Rivera of this generation.

Despite adding only Sean Casey this offseason (and unnecessarily, to boot, as Ryan Shealy would have done a fine job; instead, he'll do so in Cincinnati), I like the Snakes' chances to slither upwards in the division. In addition, they have a handful of quality position players on the way up, all of whom share an ability into the $5 seats. Names like Conor Jackson, Prince Fielder, and Carlos Gonzalez should become more familiar over the next few years, as should last year's first round pick, big right-handed moundsman Joe Chittenden, who bagged 12 wins to go along with an even 2.00 ERA in 135 AA innings last year. This club may move up faster than any other last place team, but it doesn't mean I'll be rooting for them. They're not lovable losers like the Pale Hose, and they're not fighting against the bourgeoisie comme Les Expos. You want an Empire, this is it. But, hell, apparently the Parthians had an empire, too.
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Craig

the pale hose: year 1/hitchhiker's guide to.../wild thing, you make my heart sing/year 2/THE TRADE/making the playoffs
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