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Old 02-23-2005, 10:01 AM   #50
ctorg
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 9,848
I believe there's no one true method for valuing players, at least not one that has been discovered. I believe not making an out is the most important thing a batter can do. I believe in a lot of the stuff I read about in Moneyball, simply because I believe in science as a good way of reaching conclusions. I understand that if a particular statistic is more correlated with winning games or scoring runs, it is more likely to be of value.

I believe - and this is a big belief of mine - that being able to come up with the best situation-specific strategy is more important than having a consistent overall strategy in a game. In other words, knowing the best thing to do in any given situation is more important than general ideas like "stealing is bad".

I don't believe most of the old superstitions about the game, which are being disproven (to me) by new ideas. I don't believe there is only one way to win, or even necessarily a best way to win. I don't believe in sticking to old and comfortable ideas because they feel right.
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