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Search: Posts Made By: BPS
Forum: PT Bug Reports Forum 08-04-2019, 12:28 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 251
Posted By BPS
Thanks for the response. I did see language about...

Thanks for the response. I did see language about keeping the number on the reserve roster small, but I didn't see anything about needing some minimum number of players but I might be blind.

The...
Forum: PT Bug Reports Forum 08-03-2019, 10:49 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 251
Posted By BPS
Can't sell selected cards

I am unable to put selected card up for auction. For these players, the "action" button does not give the option of selling cards. In the list of players appearing in "manage cards," these players...
Forum: PT Bug Reports Forum 06-27-2019, 06:07 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 210
Posted By BPS
Bought card, didn't receive, still on AH

figure out what might have happened. Never mind!
Forum: OOTP 20 - General Discussions 03-19-2019, 10:32 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 353
Posted By BPS
The above was the starting point, and after a...

The above was the starting point, and after a number of smaller things were taken care of, I think I got things working as desired.

Thanks!
Forum: OOTP 20 - General Discussions 03-18-2019, 11:19 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 353
Posted By BPS
Historical MLB with fictional players

Does an easy way exist to create a league, say starting in 1921, following MLB history (and style of play) but with fictional players?

I use to do this in the past by manually creating the league...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 04:53 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
"Simulating reality" can mean different things....

"Simulating reality" can mean different things. It might mean that you generate statistical output that appears plausible (compared to some "reality" including things like hitting streaks. Or, it...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 04:45 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
Thanks! (I feel honored to have got multiple...

Thanks! (I feel honored to have got multiple responses to my assertions about hotness.) :flowers:

But, why no introduction of hotness/coldness? Studies now suggest that these are real things in...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 04:41 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
I see: others are obliged to present evidence....

I see: others are obliged to present evidence. You, however, feel comfortable making assertions without evidence.
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 04:25 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
I agree 100% with you. Invoking "small sample...

I agree 100% with you. Invoking "small sample size" merely means we don't know. It does not mean the claimed effect isn't real. But, here, those swinging the cudgel of "small sample size" often seem...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 04:20 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
The mechanism I have suggested is not that past...

The mechanism I have suggested is not that past hotness increases future likelihood of success.

I have suggested that it is hypothetically possible that the "hotness" designation might the result...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 04:11 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
Even if something is consistent with dumb luck,...

Even if something is consistent with dumb luck, this is not evidence that dumb luck caused what has been observed.

But in any case, no one has shown that the results are, indeed, the result of...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 03:55 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
Yes, HOT is simply just the identification of...

Yes, HOT is simply just the identification of past behavior (a series of good outcomes).

And, yes, outcomes in OOTP are determined by random variables. Yet, it is hypothetically the case that a...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 03:36 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
They are not obscure at all. If some effect...

They are not obscure at all.

If some effect appears when using a small sample, two possibilities exist: (1) the effect is real or (2) the effect is not real but only appeared due to chance. You...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 03:17 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
My reading of what has been said is that if a...

My reading of what has been said is that if a player has been identified as being, say, "hot" is not "predictive" of future behavior. This is different than saying that no code creates hot players.
...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 03:07 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
It is not cryptic at all. Next up: writing...

It is not cryptic at all.

Next up: writing "small sample size" is not always the universal kill shot many people think it is.
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 02:53 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
In my experience, some players display an amazing...

In my experience, some players display an amazing season-to-season consistency while others seem to have hugely different statistical output each season. My guess is that some combinations of...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 02:42 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
I have no evidence you are are ignorant. ...

I have no evidence you are are ignorant.

But others who like to remark-- after references are made to variances--"well, you can't expect Williams to hit .400 facing such good pitching!" are...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-22-2019, 02:01 PM
Replies: 77
Views: 2,070
Posted By BPS
A predictable as the sun coming up, a discussion...

A predictable as the sun coming up, a discussion is started about variances but some later posters think they score points by referring to means.
Forum: Perfect Team 02-21-2019, 06:09 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 443
Posted By BPS
Hitters who are slow runners, who also have high...

Hitters who are slow runners, who also have high avoid strikeouts, tend to hit into a lot of double plays.
Forum: Perfect Team 02-15-2019, 09:59 AM
Replies: 45
Views: 1,116
Posted By BPS
I assume that in regular OOTP the distribution of...

I assume that in regular OOTP the distribution of the various talents are kinda bell-shaped, but in PT I assume the distribution of talent isn't even necessarily symmetrical but is skewed right....
Forum: Perfect Team 02-14-2019, 11:25 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 1,116
Posted By BPS
I accept that. Here's a question: are ALL...

I accept that.

Here's a question: are ALL players who are identified as "hot" or "cold" purely the result of random outcomes? Or, do some players identified as being "hot" have a higher...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-14-2019, 10:06 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 1,116
Posted By BPS
The OP raised an issue about variance: the...

The OP raised an issue about variance: the occasional large difference in the performance of the same player in the same environment. This concern is completely different from complaints about...
Forum: Perfect Team 02-14-2019, 04:28 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 1,116
Posted By BPS
I think it is possible to both understand random...

I think it is possible to both understand random processes AND to believe that the variance of performance of players is possibly greater than explained by a series of independent random draw from...
Forum: OOTP 19 - General Discussions 01-26-2019, 06:46 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 212
Posted By BPS
Question: Stat taking into account grounding into Double Plays

Do any of the stats generated by OOTP (wRC+, etc) take into account the negative affect of hitting into double plays?

I know some versions of runs created stats take into account double plays, but...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-22-2019, 11:05 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 1,095
Posted By BPS
If you sent me, via a time machine, back to 1662...

If you sent me, via a time machine, back to 1662 to battle Isaac Newton in solving a complex math problem, I'd whip his rear end as I'd bring along my laptop with various math software. Therefore, I...
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