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Search took 0.00 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: ASURay
Forum: Perfect Team 01-17-2019, 06:51 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
I don't think anything impacts MOV/CON. The...

I don't think anything impacts MOV/CON. The pitches just impact STUFF. Either way, the in-game action is just impacted by STUFF/MOV/CON, as far as I know. I don't think it matters which actual...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-17-2019, 08:59 AM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
Not currently. The individual pitches are mostly...

Not currently. The individual pitches are mostly important for determining the STUFF, STUFF vs LH, and STUFF vs RH ratings. I've never gotten any confirmation as to whether or not they do anything...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-17-2019, 08:50 AM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
The 2004 Rivera card is, IMO the most underrated...

The 2004 Rivera card is, IMO the most underrated RP/CL card in the game. It still goes for 6K+, but it's ratings make it prb a Top 5 RP/CL card, in theory. The one I have is up and down but generally...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-14-2019, 10:05 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
25K is tough. Blanton, 94 OVR Clemens, 95 OVR...

25K is tough. Blanton, 94 OVR Clemens, 95 OVR Matt Harvey (the avg is 18K but one just sold today for 40K), 96 Smoltz, 96 Pedro, maybe 96 Greinke (not sure what the price is on that one but it's a...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-09-2019, 02:18 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
Nice. Slots in right between your Walter Johnson...

Nice. Slots in right between your Walter Johnson and Matt Harvey in the rankings. As some have noted, though, some LHP tend to struggle. There are like 20 Chris Sales in my league. They have a...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-09-2019, 01:47 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
That's a great rotation. Those first four guys...

That's a great rotation. Those first four guys are #8, 13, 15, and 16 on my rankings. I don't think I have that Kershaw card in my database. Can you send me a screenshot?
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 07:41 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
It’s okay. That card and the 100 Koufax are cards...

It’s okay. That card and the 100 Koufax are cards I’d sell right away. You can prb get two high-diamond SPs like a 96 Brown, a 93 or 94 Maddux, etc. for what you’d get for a 100 Seaver.
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 05:21 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
Nice. I'll go through yours and add 90+ guys that...

Nice. I'll go through yours and add 90+ guys that I have in my spreadsheet, update the formula for FIP (I'll include both the PL-only model as well as the all-league model), then send it back to you....
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 05:19 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
Here's the best model I have right now: ...

Here's the best model I have right now:

FIP_p = 8.661141 - (.01747*STUFF) - (.03291*MOV) - (.01737*CON)

This thread motivated me to update some of my numbers today. This model uses data from...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 05:14 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
Can you send your spreadsheet to me? It looks...

Can you send your spreadsheet to me? It looks more complete than mine. I also have a few new models I can plugin. How many 90+ SPs are in your records? My spreadsheet has 93.
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 04:49 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
True, though this assumes that we eventually have...

True, though this assumes that we eventually have access to card performance data across all leagues. I imagine this is something that can be done in v20 with an API.
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 04:47 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
Ouch.

Ouch.
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 04:27 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
In the #4 - #7 range depending on the model. Very...

In the #4 - #7 range depending on the model. Very nice. What does that card cost?
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 04:02 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
How much do the 96 OVR Greinke, 97 OVR Newhouser,...

How much do the 96 OVR Greinke, 97 OVR Newhouser, and 96 OVR Cy Young go for? I don't think I've ever seen Newhouser at auction.
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 03:50 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
Yeah. I just bought him for my F2P team that...

Yeah. I just bought him for my F2P team that consists only of dead players.
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 03:39 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
I have the 97 Randy at #20 on the new list, but I...

I have the 97 Randy at #20 on the new list, but I value Stuff less than you do so that's not surprising. That said, I'd take that card. My current rotation is:

96 Kevin Brown (#3 new list / #6 old...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 03:30 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
I haven't considered that at all. We could use...

I haven't considered that at all. We could use some machine learning techniques to try and integrate all the info (velocity, individual pitch ratings, GB/FB tendencies, arm slot, etc.) but, in the...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 03:29 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
I have a PhD in statistics and work as a research...

I have a PhD in statistics and work as a research methodologist when I'm not playing OOTP/PT, so this is kind of my thing. That said, I doubt it gives me much of an advantage. At the end of the day,...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 03:26 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
I just went though and fit the model using data...

I just went though and fit the model using data from every SP in my current Perfect league that has >=30 career GS at the Perfect level. Unfortunately, this only gave me a sample size of N=89. The...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 02:57 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
It's not in a very legible format at the moment....

It's not in a very legible format at the moment. I kind of put it together haphazardly. My current formula for predicted_FIP is:

FIP_p = 9.468 - .022*STUFF - .033*MOV - .027*CON

The intercept...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 02:29 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
I have Dolf in my database since his ratings are...

I have Dolf in my database since his ratings are up on the community Google sheet. He's currently 31st on my list. Good stuff, decent movement, below-average control.
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 01:50 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
What are the ratings on that card? I saw one up...

What are the ratings on that card? I saw one up for auction last week but I forgot to write it down. I remember thinking it was really good (and really expensive).
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 01:49 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
All the Randy Johnson cards are good. The 97 OVR...

All the Randy Johnson cards are good. The 97 OVR one is Top 15, I think. The Scott card is good as well. Somewhere in the low 20s.
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 12:52 PM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
I have Blanton at #24 of the SP cards I've seen...

I have Blanton at #24 of the SP cards I've seen so far. I'm missing a few that are prb better (100 Maddux, 95 Harvey, etc.) and didn't do all the diamond SPs in the 90-92 range. Some of those might...
Forum: Perfect Team 01-07-2019, 11:46 AM
Replies: 212
Views: 28,319
Posted By ASURay
Someone in my online league has a Perfect Pedro....

Someone in my online league has a Perfect Pedro. He runs >275 K, < 25 BB, and <10 HRA every year. Always a sub-2.50 ERA/FIP and wins the Triple Crown every season.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 27
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