NFL 2019 Thread
Week 1 Predictions vs. the spread...
Green Bay at Chicago(-3) Green Bay has Aaron Rodgers but not much else going for it, the Bears are on an upward trend and while it will be a competitive game I see the Bears beating the spread handily. PICK: Chicago RESULT: GB by 7(loss, 0-1) Atlanta at Minnesota(-4) Minnesota has the superior defense and overall team, but a good quarterback can do wonders for you. I think Atlanta beats the spread and may even pull out a straight up win here. PICK: Atlanta RESULT: MIN by 16(Won 1-1) Washington @ Philadelphia(-8.5) It would be a shock to see the Redskins pull off a straight up win but it's possible they could beat the spread. That said, Philly underperformed last year and I think they will be motivated coming out of the gate. PICK: Philadelphia RESULT: PHI by 5(Loss, 1-2) Buffalo at New York Jets(-3) Le'veon Bell gets a new start with a new team and I think he will show he is worth the wait. PICK: NY Jets RESULT: BUF by 1(Loss 1-3) Baltimore(-5.5) @ Miami I think the spread is a little conservative here and this could be a cakewalk for the Ravens against a rebuilding Dolphins team. PICK: Baltimore RESULT: BAL by 49(Won 2-3) Kansas City(-4) at Jacksonville I get that vegas doesn't like road teams that much but again this seems like a conservative line for a team that went deep in the playoffs. PICK: Kansas City RESULT: KC by 14(Won 3-3) Tennessee at Cleveland(-5) Cleveland should be much improved, but I don't know if the two teams are actually that far apart here. PICK: Tennesssee RESULT: :TEN by 30(Win 4-3) LA Rams(-3) @ Carolina The Rams are coming off a trip to the Super Bowl but questions remain about Gurley's health and you should never underestimate the Panthers. PICK: Carolina RESULT: LA Rams by 3(PUSH) Cincinatti at Seattle(-9.5) Seattle has a run heavy offense and I don't know if there will be enough scoring to justify the large spread. Pick: Cincinatti RESULT: SEA by 1(Win 5-3) Indianapolis at LA Chargers(-7) The colts are reeling after the loss of Luck to retirement and the Chargers are getting better every year. Pick: LA Chargers RESULT: LAC by 6(Loss 5-4) San Francisco(E) at Tampa Bay I agree with Vegas that this will be a close game but I'll go with the home team in a coin flip. PICK: Tampa Bay Detroit(-2.5) at Arizona Not sure why Detroit should be favored here except the experience at quarterback. Close enough that I'll go with the home team PICK: Arizona Result: TIE(Won 6-4) NY Giants at Dallas(-7) A lot rests on Ezekial Elliot's status, but the Cowboys look like contendors for a super bowl run this year. PICK: Dallas Result: DAL by 18(Win 6-4) Pittsburgh(+5.5) at New England Two good teams, this could actually be a close game or end up with a Steelers win. PICK: Pittsburgh RESULT: NE by 30(Loss 6-5) Houston at New Orleans(-7) This looks like a blowout waiting to happen. PICK: New Orleans Result: NO by 2(LOSS 6-6) Denver(-1) at Oakland If AB plays I like the Raiders here. PICK: Denver Result: OAK by 8(Loss 6-7) |
Oy, this reminds me to get the loser game up again.
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I am a Chiefs fan. I think we had a great draft and acquired good free agents. Super excited about Mahomes. NOT excited about the season. I am snakebit and tired. Will still be the Patriots in the AFC Championship. Even against the Chiefs, the Pats will win. Last year's AFC Championship just took every wind from my gut. I see Kansas City is just insane bonkers and tv personalities are calling the Chiefs in the Super Bowl. Not buying it. The Pats may not go to the Super Bowl, but they will still one up the Chiefs. I may be wrong. But just remember this post when the season is over.
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I'm not sold on the Bears. My coworker thinks they will go to the Super Bowl but i'm not sure they will make it to the playoffs. They were not very good before 2018 and that season may be a season of having some breaks go their way. I think 5 or 6 of their wins came against last place teams and 32 were against 2nd to last. They got beat by a more legit playoff team in Philly.
I think they will regress a bit this year but maybe still win the division. |
I like the Chiefs to finally get Andy Reid over the hump. They did as well as they did w/a porous, but opportunistic defense. I think it will be better this season.
I'm wondering if the Rams & Saints will have a hangover after last season's enders for them. In fact, the whole NFC is one big question mark to me. |
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All in all I think the Chiefs defense will be bad enough that Mahomes will put up video game numbers again, but it's just tough to beat a team like the Pats in the playoffs, who never let any unit get as bad as the KC linebackers and corners unless they have a ton of injuries. |
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That division doesnt seem to have a dominant team right now. Any of the other three could be the 2018 bears this season and then no playoff next year. As long as we dont have to watch the patriots in the super bowl again this century i would be happy. |
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Also a factor I forgot about before: interceptions. Their 27 interceptions last season were the most since 2013 Seattle, when teams as a whole threw nearly 20% more picks than they do now. It's likely that number regresses this season considering the amount of competent QBs nowadays and the way teams rarely put the ball in harm's way through the air anymore. |
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In other news, bust out your same ole Jets t-shirts. The team will be cutting 68th overall pick Jachai Polite. Meanwhile, the Patriots picked a player a few picks later in Chase Winovich who was more productive in college than Polite, much more productive than his collegiate batterymate, first rounder Rashan Gary, and has had a sensational preseason. I don't know why I put myself through following this team's stupidity sometimes. :p |
I am pretty excited about the Seahawks signing Clowney. I think the LA Rams and San Francisco are overrated this year and the Seahawks have a decent chance of taking the division, and when they do that they seem to do better in the playoffs than other teams.
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I doubt it will make a difference, he'll just ask to be traded again and play the victim.
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I'd hate to see the idiots who would trade a 7th rd pick for that salary & headache. AB shouldn't be playing in the NFL. He should be in playing ping pong in the mental ward's rec room.
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I bet someone will(Beckham and Brown on the same team would be sick)
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Where is LivnLegend so I can rag on him about his 4-12 Chokeland Faiders?
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With the AB sideshow in full swing, we'll be lucky to win 2 games this year. Prima Donna wish we never traded for him, he'll be a distraction all season.
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If game one is any proof, sitting your offensive players the entire preseason doesn't lead to crisp offenses. As I type this, 6 of 12 MLB games today have as many runs or more than this insomnia cure.
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