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-   -   Simming Until Every Team Wins the World Series (https://forums.ootpdevelopments.com//showthread.php?t=291579)

Brennan 07-31-2018 06:36 PM

Simming Until Every Team Wins the World Series
 
How close is your favorite team's next championship? 1 year? 3? 5? 108?

Well, we're about to find out, because I am starting a new OOTP game and will not stop until all 30 teams win at least one championship. This could take 30-40 years, or several hundred, but we will sim through it all.

A couple notes:
-I am starting in the 2018 season.
-I am starting on OOTP 19. If OOTP 20 comes out before I finish, I will switch to that.
-I am unemployed, and will be remaining so throughout the simulation.
-Commissioner mode is on.
-League evolution is disabled.
-Every so often, I'll post a season's results and any big stories. I'm not going to go into detail on every little thing because it would take too long, but I will show the full standings after every year.
-I have several other OOTP games going, so I'm not sure how often I will post this. If it's been a week or two since the last post, I've probably just been busy, so bear with me.
-I put this in Fictional Simulations because it seemed more fitting than Historical Simulations or Dynasty Reports. If that was wrong, I apologize.

As of right now, the 5 longest World Series droughts are:
1. Cleveland Indians (69 years)
2. Texas Rangers (57 years)
3. Milwaukee Brewers (49 years)
4. San Diego Padres (49 years)
5. Washington Nationals (49 years)

Play ball!

Brennan 07-31-2018 08:48 PM

2018
 
Here were the regular-season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/4ln5ll645/Scre...8.43.06_PM.pngshare image

Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/9kao07hnp/Scre...8.43.37_PM.png

Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/y0stuoq45/Scre...8.43.56_PM.png

And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/k74h5n58l/Scre...8.45.19_PM.pngimghost

So the Chicago Cubs win the 2018 World Series!
They are the 1st of the 30 teams to win it.
On to next year!

The Game 07-31-2018 10:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brennan (Post 4352269)
Here were the regular-season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/4ln5ll645/Scre...8.43.06_PM.pngshare image

Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/9kao07hnp/Scre...8.43.37_PM.png

Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/y0stuoq45/Scre...8.43.56_PM.png

And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/k74h5n58l/Scre...8.45.19_PM.pngimghost

So the Chicago Cubs win the 2018 World Series!
They are the 1st of the 30 teams to win it.
On to next year!

I preferred OOTP when they were anti Cubs. :crying::mad:Go White Sox!

Brennan 07-31-2018 10:56 PM

2019
 
Last season's awards:
MVP AL- Giancarlo NL- Harper
Cy Young AL- Kluber NL- Scherzer
ROY AL-Ohtani NL-McMahon

Major FA signings: Harper- TOR Machado- ATL Britton- SF Donaldson-NYY

HOF voting- Mariano Rivera was the only one elected

Now for the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/k8o29ui6d/Scre...0.50.03_PM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/ouk6i7j51/Scre...0.50.31_PM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/uiqh942x1/Scre...0.50.43_PM.png
And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/3yxw6khol/Scre...0.54.36_PM.png

So the Dodgers win the 2019 World Series. That makes it so 2 of the 30 teams have won.

Bluenoser 08-01-2018 06:29 AM

Is this fictional?

Brennan 08-04-2018 11:05 AM

Awards:
MVP: AL-Trout NL-Bellinger
Cy Young: AL-Berrios NL-Syndergaard
ROY: AL-Vlad Jr. NL-Soto

Major FA signings: Strasburg-TEX Machado-NYM Kimbrel-ATL Andrew Miller-LAA

HOF- Jeter was the only one elected.

Now the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/lutz8ypud/Scre...0.59.28_AM.png

Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/qthhni1d1/Scre...0.59.42_AM.png

Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/fh4w5q0dx/Scre...0.59.53_AM.png

And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/pr7b4yxz9/Scre...1.01.37_AM.png

So, obviously the Los Angeles Dodgers win again, which is a little disappointing. It would have been nice to get Tampa Bay off the board early. 2 of the 30 teams have won.

Comment what year you think your favorite team will win.

damientheomen3 08-04-2018 06:15 PM

Milwaukee's got it by 2071.

Brennan 08-04-2018 06:58 PM

2021
 
Awards:
MVP: AL-Trout NL-Bellinger
Cy Young: AL-Sale NL-Kershaw
ROY: AL-Ismael Chajon (fictional Cuban slugger who signed with Angels) NL-Masayuki Oshima (fictional Japanese second baseman who signed with Cubs- his nickname is "The Natural")

Major FA signings: Kershaw-STL Britton-LAD Lester-TOR Stroman-CHC Taijuan Walker-BOS

Hall of Fame: Mussina, Clemens, Bonds

Now for 2021. Regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/yzw7gyr2d/Scre...6.53.49_PM.png

Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/que5itaj9/Scre...6.54.17_PM.png

Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/liz8y3w6d/Scre...6.54.30_PM.png

And the playoffs...
https://s8.postimg.cc/xkums9kud/Scre...6.54.44_PM.png

So the Tampa Bay Rays return to the World Series and deny the Dodgers a 3-peat. They do have Chris Archer and Seth Beer still, but I'll let that slide. There's hope, Rays fans!

10% of the way there (3 of 30 teams)

I'm a Nationals fan...I have a feeling we'll win in 2043.

Brennan 08-04-2018 09:01 PM

2022
 
MVP: AL-Lindor NL-Seager
Cy Young: AL-Kluber NL-Kershaw
ROY: AL-Mac Horvath (DET) NL-Corey Ray (MIL)

Key FA signings: Posey-HOU Kluber-LAA McCullers-DET Kyle Seager-PHI Aroldis Chapman-ATL

HOF Voting Results: A-Rod, Schilling, Ortiz

Now the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/95r04x10l/Scre...8.58.35_PM.png

Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/a816ngrjp/Scre...8.58.50_PM.png

Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/cpcxuqj5x/Scre...8.59.01_PM.png

And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/aksktnp91/Scre...8.59.11_PM.png

So the Houston Astros win the 2022 World Series, with a lineup anchored by Yordan Alvarez and a pitching core led by Bryce Montes de Oca and Forrest Whitley. 4 of the 30 teams have now won a World Series.

Comment how many years you think this is going to take.

The Game 08-06-2018 03:35 AM

223.. I thought my Sox would have at least made the playoffs by now. Can you forward this to Rick Hahn and tell him the rebuild didnt work. :angry:

Brennan 08-14-2018 01:21 PM

2023-2027
 
I haven't been able to post lately because I was on vacation, but while I was there I simulated five more seasons, so I'll just post them all here.

2023:
MVP: AL-Harper NL-Soto
Cy Young: AL-Severino NL-Gsellman
ROY: AL-Jacob Pearson (MIN) NL-Jarred Kelenic (PHI)

FA signings: Berrios-LAD Puig-ARI Betts-LAD Benintendi-SF

HOF: Halladay, Helton

Now the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/v37hfro79/Scre...0.32.56_AM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/5x6j8zkd1/Scre...0.33.13_AM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/jquvy1ko5/Scre...0.33.25_AM.png
And the postseason results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/udop3h891/Scre...0.33.38_AM.png

2024:
MVP: AL-Odor NL-Bellinger
Cy Young: AL-Severino NL-Logan Gilbert (PIT)
ROY: AL-Henry Gargus (CLE) NL-Jorge Magdayao (ARI)

FA signings: Devers-HOU Odor-DET Buehler-TEX Paxton-TOR Donaldson-MIA Schwarber-TEX

HOF: Pujols

Regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/ymtf5n3sl/Scre...6.40.03_PM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/xxamt90o5/Scre...6.40.17_PM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/syn4eq4l1/Scre...6.40.27_PM.png
And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/57nqwneol/Scre...6.42.22_PM.png

2025:
MVP: AL-Harper NL-Seager
Cy Young: AL-Dinelson Lamet (DET) NL-Shane McClanahan (ATL)
ROY: AL- Austin Hendrick (CWS) NL-Braxton Ashcraft (STL)

FA signings: Devers-PHI Soto-LAA Seager-SEA Albies-BAL Severino-TOR Arenado-SEA Lamet-LAA Jansen-HOU

HOF: Beltran, Manny

Regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/rwcxw6thh/Scre...0.16.20_AM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/4uwcqief9/Scre...0.16.36_AM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/jquvy5fk5/Scre...0.16.46_AM.png
And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/blcu00m6d/Scre...0.18.47_AM.png

2026:
MVP: AL-Vlad Jr. NL-Bellinger
Cy Young: AL-Kenny Mendoza (CLE) NL-Chris Wass (SF)
ROY: AL-Juan Terraza (DET) NL-Edouard Julien (COL)

FA signings: Harper-STL Gilbert-BOS Faria-PHI Luke Weaver-TOR

HOF: Verlander

Regular season standings:
https://s8.postimg.cc/4i4yke1b9/Scre...5.51.16_PM.png
Batting leaders:
https://s8.postimg.cc/9412sqf4l/Scre...5.52.10_PM.png
Pitching leaders:
https://s8.postimg.cc/tbeil1s1h/Scre...5.52.22_PM.png
Playoff results:
https://s8.postimg.cc/p29siwbxh/Scre...5.53.21_PM.png

2027:
MVP: AL-Thad Ward (DET) NL-Kazuo Yamamoto (STL)
Cy Young: AL-Ward NL-Wass
ROY: AL- Tyler Solomon (TB) NL-Yamamoto

FA signings: Odor-STL Giles-ATL McCullers-STL

HOF: Miguel Cabrera, Sabathia

Regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/k3ma4d0et/Scre...9.15.22_AM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/dd5suxsol/Scre...9.15.32_AM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/blcu01h1h/Scre...9.15.58_AM.png
And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/pf16p3hcl/Scre...9.17.40_AM.png

So the Braves, Diamondbacks, Indians, and Giants all get their championship, plus the Dodgers win another one. 8 of 30 teams have won in the 10 seasons we played.

Here are the updated longest active WS droughts:
1. Texas Rangers (67)
2. Milwaukee Brewers (59)
3. San Diego Padres (59)
4. Washington Nationals (59)
5. Seattle Mariners (51)

By the way, as we move further into this series and we get into purely fictional players, I may start moving away from leaders and FA signings and just focus on standings. However, if there's anything specific about the sim you want to ask me (like how a certain player did or what a team's future looks like), don't hesitate to ask.

Brennan 08-14-2018 03:41 PM

2028
 
MVP: AL-JT Schwartz (TB) NL-Yamamoto
Cy Young: AL-Jared Quintanilla (CLE) NL-Wass
ROY: Chris Boarman (TB) NL-Jeff Stella (PHI)

FA signings: Odor-COL Bichette-NYY Andujar-HOU Senzel-NYM

HOF: Beltre

Regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/tojow3yxh/Scre...3.28.17_PM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/5ksx7to6d/Scre...3.28.43_PM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/byi0b30s5/Scre...3.29.13_PM.png
And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/cb9eh9qrp/Scre...3.30.45_PM.png

Comment if you are sick of the Dodgers winning.

DustyElbows 08-14-2018 04:36 PM

Using some simple probability tricks, I found that the expected number of years it will take for all 30 teams to win the World Series is 119.8.

In doing the math, we assume that each year's winner is independent of the next (definitely not true) and that each franchise is equally likely to win a championship in any given year (almost certainly not true). So, if anything, I'd expect the *actual* expected value to be a good deal *larger* than 120.

Brennan 08-14-2018 04:48 PM

2029
 
MVP: AL-Mike Lisella (KC) NL-Bellinger
Cy Young: AL-Quintanilla NL-Jeff Razo (STL)
ROY: AL-Alex Greene (NYY) NL-Ben Thiel (MIL)

FA signings: Bryant-BOS Vlad Jr-NYM Jake Lamb-CHC Brendan McKay-LAA

HOF: No One

Now the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/f810v9bol/Scre...4.37.49_PM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/kw7bm5vgl/Scre...4.38.03_PM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/gab7dthn9/Scre...4.38.15_PM.png
And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/9wm4akkh1/Scre...4.40.07_PM.png

So the Pittsburgh Pirates return to the World Series and sweep the Rangers, who continue their playoff woes. 9 of 30 teams have won the World Series, while only 5 (BAL, COL, MIA, MIL, SEA) have yet to make the playoffs.

The Game 08-14-2018 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brennan (Post 4356720)
MVP: AL-Mike Lisella (KC) NL-Bellinger
Cy Young: AL-Quintanilla NL-Jeff Razo (STL)
ROY: AL-Alex Greene (NYY) NL-Ben Thiel (MIL)

FA signings: Bryant-BOS Vlad Jr-NYM Jake Lamb-CHC Brendan McKay-LAA

HOF: No One

Now the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/f810v9bol/Scre...4.37.49_PM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/kw7bm5vgl/Scre...4.38.03_PM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/gab7dthn9/Scre...4.38.15_PM.png
And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/9wm4akkh1/Scre...4.40.07_PM.png

So the Pittsburgh Pirates return to the World Series and sweep the Rangers, who continue their playoff woes. 9 of 30 teams have won the World Series, while only 5 (BAL, COL, MIA, MIL, SEA) have yet to make the playoffs.

If i have to wait til 2029 for the Sox to make the postseason, Rick Hahn is gonna pay. Can I do the end credit scene from Deadpool 2 on him?

Brennan 08-15-2018 04:37 PM

2030
 
You'd probably be interested to know that Rick Hahn was fired by the White Sox in 2019. Brian Cashman is now running the rebuild. Anyway...

MVP: AL-Lisella NL-Jonathan Horsky (PHI)
Cy Young: AL-Dan Folkema (BOS) NL- Chris Halls (PIT)
ROY: AL-Vicente Soledade (KC) NL-Lucas D. Wimberly (SF)

FA signings: Ward-CLE Joey Bart-NYY Kevin Maitan-SF Gary Sanchez-PHI Ian Happ-BOS Jonathan Vaughns-CHC A.J.Labas-HOU

HOF: Scherzer (Sorry, Tigers fans, he went in as a National)

Now the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/a296613s5/Scre...4.29.02_PM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/8ag7b4zut/Scre...4.30.07_PM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/6vemmf6hh/Scre...4.30.22_PM.png
And the playoff results...
https://s8.postimg.cc/41bh8zc11/Scre...4.31.57_PM.png

So the Boston Red Sox deny the Pirates of a back-to-back. We are 1/3 of the way through now, as 10 different teams (CHC, LAD, TB, HOU, ATL, ARI, CLE, SF, PIT, and BOS) have won the World Series.

Brennan 08-17-2018 11:40 AM

2031
 
MVP: AL-Soledade NL-Devers
Cy Young: AL-Kevin Blanchard (NYY) NL- Chris Halls (PIT)
ROY: AL-Rodolfo Puello (HOU) NL-Young-jong Kwon (NYM)

FA signings: Seager-BAL Ryan Weathers-HOU Naylor-TOR Tatis Jr.-TOR Toglia-HOU

HOF: Kershaw

Now for the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/4kni8mn7p/Scre...1.08.14_AM.png
Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/ir393wg39/Scre...1.11.04_AM.png
Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/fk8pkab2t/Scre...1.11.12_AM.png
And the playoffs...
https://s8.postimg.cc/xzt6howx1/Scre...1.11.21_AM.png

So the Red Sox repeat as champions.

A couple notes (mostly concerning failure):
The Mariners are now the only team that has not made the playoffs during this series.
The Mets now have 10 playoff appearances without a championship (most of any team). The Rangers have 8.
The Royals have now lost the ALCS in seven games to the Red Sox two years in a row. I am very sorry.

Brennan 08-17-2018 12:02 PM

2032
 
MVP: AL-Ernesto Alarid (HOU) NL-Devers
Cy Young: AL-Dan Folkema (BOS) NL- Josh Pinsker (LAD)
ROY: AL-Dursun Birand (MIN) NL- Jimmy Lewis (SD)

FA signings: Sergio Padilla-KC Austin Hendrick-WAS Dominic Smith-CHC Logan Gilbert-TOR Jonathan India-HOU

HOF: Kluber

Now for the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/rrcg1k6mt/Scre...1.56.24_AM.png

Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/jyls9lg39/Scre...1.57.09_AM.png

Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/ox9ao4rlx/Scre...1.57.21_AM.png

And the playoffs...
https://s8.postimg.cc/5s61edknp/Scre...1.59.07_AM.png

So the Milwaukee Brewers return to the World Series and pick up a victory. So SnaggleJ, there's your target year! 11 of 30 teams have now won a World Series, and EVERY TEAM has made the playoffs at least once!

rudel.dietrich 08-17-2018 07:14 PM

Can you post a screen shoot of Ronald Acuna Jr career batting stats?

His career should be winding down or already over by 2032. I saw a only a handful of batting leader appearances so I am guessing his career was solid but nothing HOF or maybe even AS worthy.

Brennan 08-17-2018 08:32 PM

2033
 
Here are Acuna's stats (he retired last season). He made the All-Star team twice (in 2022 and 2027), won the Gold Glove in 2019 and 2020, won the Silver Slugger in 2022 and 2026, and won the World Series in 2023 with the Braves.
https://s8.postimg.cc/457n1mbtx/Scre...8.05.43_PM.png

Now on to 2033.
MVP: AL-Rodolfo Puello (HOU) NL-Thiel
Cy Young: AL-Folkema NL-Mike Schulz (COL)
ROY: AL: Juan Rosado (SEA) NL- Jorge Cazares (MIL)

FA signings: Weathers-KC Devers-NYM Luke Leto-TEX Schwarz-KC Padilla-NYY Seager-LAA Juan Terraza-SF Luis Galindo-CHC

HOF: Stanton (no logo), Cano (Yankee), Votto

Now the regular season standings...
https://s8.postimg.cc/70kq8can9/Scre...8.26.43_PM.png

Batting leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/ww4grjzmd/Scre...8.27.06_PM.png

Pitching leaders...
https://s8.postimg.cc/6ntc26n8l/Scre...8.27.17_PM.png

And the playoffs...
https://s8.postimg.cc/l70h3lo39/Scre...8.28.56_PM.png

So the Pirates win another World Series by sweeping the Twins. I knew pretty much from the get-go that this was going to be another repeat season, as 6 of the 11 previous champions made the playoffs. However, I am still disappointed. 11 out of 30 have won.


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