chucksabr |
11-04-2013 01:58 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Le Grande Orange
(Post 3596673)
It's closer to what Bluenoser says. Below are some stats I compiled based on Retrosheet's game log for the 1962 MLB season. Note that all attendance figures reported below are the league average for single admission games (i.e. day-night doubleheaders are counted as separate games—since a separate admission is charged for each—while regular doubleheaders are excluded).
Code:
Day Night D+N
----------------------------
Mon 10,165 13,822 13,114
Tue 7,928 14,254 12,797
Wed 9,094 13,256 12,168
Thu 8,156 12,951 10,668
Fri 7,039 18,241 17,227
Sat 13,240 16,975 14,384
Sun 17,039 5,477 16,961
----------------------------
M-Su: 12,404 15,222 14,023
----------------------------
HOL 24,816 19,809 23,147
OPEN 24,830 15,732 23,083
Home openers on average overall drew 1.65 more fans than regular (Mon-Sun) single games.
By way of comparison, in 2012 home openers on average drew 1.42 times more fans than regular (Mon-Sun) single games. So from this (admittedly small sample) it would seem home openers tend to draw roughly as well compared to normal regular season games regardless of the time period.
|
I don't think using 2012 as a basis for explaining lack of home openers drawing in the 19th or early 20th century is relevant. In 2012 the average team drew 71.4% of its stadium capacity throughout the entire season, so 1.42 * 71.4% = 101%, meaning home opener sellouts could not exceed 1.42 even if it wanted to.
1962 makes a touch more sense, although in this case, the issue of suburbanization in the face of the "threat" of the civil rights movement and the effect of urban decay unnaturally depressed attendance for all events located in central cities, where most stadia were located. The Cubs drew well under 10,000 in their opener that year, but that's partially because Wrigley Field was located in a decaying neighborhood where you could get your ass seriously kicked.
If we were to go back in time, I believe we see a much different picture, for the most part. Unfortunately, individual game attendance records were spotty, even for opening day, but total attendance records are complete and available on B-R. If we use the same comparison method you use for these years, for the teams whose home opener attendances we have available, we would see a much wider spread.
Here is 1908:
Code:
Team Park Capacity Opener Average Ratio
BOS06 Huntington Ave. BG 12500 18752 6143 3.05
CIN06 Palace of the Fans 12000 19257 5184 3.71
BRO Washington Park III 14000 17500 3579 4.89
18503 4969 3.72
And this is 1929:
Code:
Team Park Capacity Opener Average Ratio
BSN Braves Field 46500 5000 4836 1.03
CHC Wrigley Field 40000 46000 19041 2.42
CIN Redland Field 29448 25507 3783 6.74
NYG Polo Grounds V 55000 26000 11283 2.30
BRO Ebbets Field 28000 15000 9505 1.58
NYY Yankee Stadium 82000 40000 12649 3.16
PHI Baker Bowl 18000 8000 3700 2.16
PIT Forbes Field 41000 32000 6465 4.95
STL Sportsman's 30611 11000 5193 2.12
WSH Griffith Stad. 32000 25000 4558 5.48
Average 23351 8101 2.88
In 1908 the three openers all had way overflow crowds, and even thought that's not the same in 1929, the ratio of opener to average is still almost 3 as a mean, rather than 1.4 or 1.6.
Of course we can't have a 100,000 stadium capacity and fill that up on Opening Day everywhere, particularly in the 19th Century. That would be asinine. But I don't see any reason the best professional baseball team in a very large city could not sell out a 10,000 capacity stadium in a sport that's all the craze at the time. Not doing so makes no sense. That's all I'm saying, here.
|