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Some of us have blamed the 5-day layoff for the top seeds as the primary reason for their downfalls, and looked to lessen that inequity. Maybe another approach would be to lengthen the down time for ALL teams, giving the WC winners a layoff, too. Maybe something like...
- Regular season ends on a Tuesday - WC games are played on Thursday, Friday, and - if needed - Saturday - No games Sunday, Monday, or Tuesday - LDS' start on Wednesday With something like this, the top two seeds will be resting & rusting for 7 days (two more than current), and the WC winners will have at 3 days off, maybe 4. Still a stark difference in rest/rust, but one would think that the difference in rust between a 5- and 7-day layoff is negligible. And whereas a 3- or 4-day layoff is still significantly shorter than what the top seeds will have, it's enough to take the sharpness & edge off of whatever advantage those WC winners will have gained in the WC series win. And with both the 3- (or 4-) and 7-day layoffs, ALL teams will be forced to experience a schedule that is completely foreign compared to the previous six months... |
MLB.com has an article addressing rest vs. momentum.
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How long does a best-of-five usually last? There have been a total of 148 series of that length played in MLB from 1969 through 2023 (excluding the truncated 2020 season). 52 of those were played under a 2-3 home field rotation and 96 used a 2-2-1 rotation.
2-3 home field rotation 3 games = 20 times (38.5%) 4 games = 14 times (26.9%) 5 games = 18 times (34.6%) 2-2-1 home field rotation 3 games = 32 times (33.3%) 4 games = 36 times (37.5%) 5 games = 28 times (29.2%) Aggregate 3 games = 52 times (35.1%) 4 games = 50 times (33.8%) 5 games = 46 times (31.1%) |
Just hoping for Texas vs Arizona, or I have zero interest in watching any of the World Series. Houston and Philly can get bent.
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My prefs, in order: 1. Zona - That would be a cool story. Especially since they are mostly made up of really likeable players and a likeable manager. 2. Rangers - I don't particularly like them, as Scherzer's just a mercenary, and totally wussed out in the playoffs two years ago. And while I totally respect Bochy, I dislike him from his managing the rival Padres & especially Giants. 3. Phils - I mean it's Philly. and only five or ten fan bases in all of sports are more irritating than "Philly Fan." 4. Natural disaster that cancels the Series. 5. BlackStros - Never rooting for the Cheaters. Maybe once the few remaining cheater players are gone and that doosh owner Crane has sold the team, I'll merely intensely dislike them... Will never understand nor forgive how the idiot commissioner let them all off with a love-tap on the wrist. |
Even though I'm not a particular fan of the state, I'm pulling for the Rangers since they've never won it before & the Astros can meet me @ my backside & pucker up.
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The start day of the World Series for 1995 to the present: 1995–2006 = Saturday 2007–2013 = Wednesday 2014–2021 = Tuesday 2022–2023 = Friday |
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But in the end, I'm sure we can all agree that any future changes - whether it's to address inequities, add more playoff teams, or otherwise tweak things, etc. - will be either motivated by increasing TV revenues, or at least doing no harm to them... |
Y'know that the lack of love for the 'stros in this thread will only make them stronger, right? :D
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I'm okay with the Astros going all the way because I like Justin Verlander. I like seeing him add to his HoF career.
Beyond that, I'm indifferent. |
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There have been 35 playoff games where one team had 4+ days off and the other team had 2 or less days off. The team with the 4+ days off has gone 24-11 in those games. |
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Of course, there are a lot variables involved. |
Is the argument that they are ready to go for game 1 (the game where they're actually rusty), but then get rusty after that game due to the previous time off?
Given a series is probably 55-45 or so, it doesn't particularly surprise me if the lower-seeded team wins about half the time (or slightly more) in fairly small samples. 24-11 in the 'rusty' game seems fairly definitive, though. |
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2012 = DET vs. OAK | SFN vs. CIN 2013 = DET vs. OAK | LAN vs. ATL 2014 = DET vs. BAL | SLN vs. LAN 2015 = TEX vs. TOR | NYN vs. LAN 2016 = BOS vs. CLE | LAN vs. WAS 2017 = BOS vs. HOU | CHN vs. WAS 2018 = CLE vs. HOU | ATL vs. LAN 2019 = MIN vs. NYA | SLN vs. ATL 2021 = CHA vs. HOU | ATL vs. MIL Of the 18 series, the higher ranked team won 8, or 44%. The difference between the leagues is interesting, with the higher seeded division winner beating the lower seeded division winner 7 out of 9 times in the AL, whereas in the NL the higher seeded division winner only won 1 out of 9 series. Of course, sometimes the difference between the seeded teams was only a couple of wins. |
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Colorado probably stays in the west. Pittsburgh goes the northeast. And although I like the Cardinals and Royals in the same division, I guess the Cardinals would go to the central. Then the 2 new teams go in the southeast. I would prefer Montreal and Portland to get the teams, like you've done, but I imagine oddsmakers know more than most of us what will likely happen. |
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I'd like to keep the AL and NL too, but if it's get rid of them or go with a wretched 4 team division format, I'm all for tossing the AL-NL overboard. Bluenoser plays a 36 team setup that I quite like, but there's no way we're going to go from 30 teams to 36 overnight. We've been stuck at 30 for quite awhile, we'll probably be at 32 for awhile. We better go with a good setup for 32 or we'll see even more grumbling over playoff teams than we see now. |
The only reason to keep the AL/NL designations is sentimental feelings towards tradition. My mom is 80 & she still roots for the NL in the All Star game & WS. So I imagine it means something to older people. But I don't think the majority of baseball fans feel any allegiance to "their" league.
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