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HBL Standings, June 1902

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Posted 03-20-2010 at 04:38 PM by sansterre

The time is June 1902.

The standings are:

JL

Detroit 33-20
Columbus 29-23
Nashville 29-23
Memphis 14-36

Sacramento 30-21
Oklahoma City 28-23
Austin 22-30
Albuquerque 22-31

KL

Miami 36-15
Manhattan 27-24
Baltimore 24-29
Chicago 20-32

Denver 30-22
Las Vegas 27-23
Indianapolis 26-27
Milwaukee 17-35


There are a few interesting teams here. Miami certainly jumps out as the best team, and well deserved. Last year they put together a playoff run, but this year they have the third best hitting, the fourth best fielding, and the best pitching by far. And this combined makes them monstrously good.

Memphis has been one of the worst teams in the league over the past three years (.414 Winning Percentage), and this year is even worse than normal. In every way. Worst hitting, second worst fielding, and worst pitching by a lot. They are worse than Miami is good.

Milwaukee is unusual in that they won the HBL Championship series last year, and this year they are terrible. A combination of factors are involved, but generally their players beginning to end have blown goats, where last year they were excellent. Their pride, Jesus Lara, probably the best shortstop in the league at 25, is batting 252/250, which is below replacement level.

At the turn of the month, I calculated the value of each team's batting, fielding and pitching, and then prorated it over a full season, and compared it to that of an average team. Thus, I determined the value above or below average of each team's facets, and their total. Again, prorated over the entire year.

Team: Hitting/Fielding/Pitching = Total (above average)

JL

Oklahoma City: -43 / +127 / +26 = +111
Sacramento: +33 / +4 / +43 = +89
Albuquerque: -11 / 0 / -33 = -44
Austin: -56 / -43 / +6 = -94

Detroit: +50 / +15 / +24 = +90
Nashville: +142 / -86 / +9 = +64
Columbus: +15 / +38 / +11 = +63
Memphis: -129 / -77 / -74 = -280

KL

Miami: +68 / +62 / +101 = +231
Manhattan: +68 / +83 / -41 = +109
Chicago: +18 / -56 / -12 = -49
Baltimore: -118 / -54 / -37 = -209

Las Vegas: -2 / +84 / +19 = +101
Denver: +89 / -13 / +2 = +79
Indianapolis: -45 / -29 / -9 = -82
Milwaukee: -125 / -55 / -37 = -217


Note the high value of fielding in this league, and the low value of pitching. Note that for these purposes, the only 'pitching' i am considering is K/BB/HR - no fielding related stat is in any way considered in the pitching calculations. But based on a loose estimation, baseball in the 1902 HBL is 43% hitting, 35% fielding, and 22% pitching. And the pitching would be lower if Miami's pitchers weren't walking only one batter per 9 - that won't continue.

Estimated End of Year Standings:

JL

Oklahoma City 92-70
Sacramento 89-73
Albuquerque 76-86
Austin 71-91

Detroit 90-72
Nashville 88-74
Columbus 88-74
Memphis 53-109

KL

Miami 104-58
Manhattan 92-70
Chicago 76-86
Baltimore 60-102

Las Vegas 91-71
Denver 89-73
Indianapolis 73-89
Milwaukee 59-103
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